مدرسة الاحتمالات

Emilio Nava v Valentin Vacherot

البداية: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Emilio Nava (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.22%3.67السعر العادل
EV +1.54%
الأفضلية +0.412%
Kelly +0.563%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.25%27.48%27.08%32.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.433.403.7334.72%29.16%29.41%26.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valentin Vacherot (الضيف)

التنبؤ 72.78%1.37السعر العادل
EV +1.89%
الأفضلية +1.35%
Kelly +4.72%
النمو +0.089%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.29%72.52%72.92%74.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.311.301.4079.37%76.38%76.92%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -21.60%E -7.50%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.89%E +1.35%K +4.72%G +0.089%6.2%2026-04-23 06:00
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -6.36%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.75%E -1.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:10
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.48%E -1.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:35
GTbets3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -9.35%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:50
BetOnline.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.09%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:15
LowVig.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.09%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:20
DraftKings3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -6.63%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:44
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:55
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.640%E -0.175%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 03:29
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 02:15
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 20:50
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:04
FanDuel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.640%E -0.175%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:30
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:30
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:29
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:25
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:30
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:34
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:34
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:20
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:15
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:10
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:50
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:15
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:30
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:03
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.722%E +0.195%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:30
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:09
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 01:59
Betclic (FR)3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25%EV +1.54%E +0.412%K +0.563%G +0.009%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.75%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Novig3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%2.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-04-24 03:40