Język:Polski
Emilio Nava v Valentin Vacherot
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Emilio Nava (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 27.22%3.67kurs godziwy
EV +1.54%
Przewaga +0.412%
Kelly +0.563%
Wzrost +0.009%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.73
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.25%27.48%27.08%32.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.433.403.7334.72%29.16%29.41%26.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Valentin Vacherot (Goście)
Prognoza 72.78%1.37kurs godziwy
EV +1.89%
Przewaga +1.35%
Kelly +4.72%
Wzrost +0.089%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.29%72.52%72.92%74.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.261.311.301.4079.37%76.38%76.92%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Emilio Nava (Gospodarze): 27.22%; Valentin Vacherot (Goście): 72.78%. Dla wyniku Valentin Vacherot (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.37. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.89%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -21.60%E -7.50%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.89%E +1.35%K +4.72%G +0.089% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -6.36%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.75%E -1.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.48%E -1.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -9.35%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.09%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.09%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -6.63%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.640%E -0.175%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.640%E -0.175%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.722%E +0.195%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25%EV +1.54%E +0.412%K +0.563%G +0.009% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.75%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |