La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daniil Medvedev v Fabian Marozsan
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniil Medvedev (Casa)
Previsione 62.47%1.60quota equa
EV -1.93%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -3.38%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.65%62.47%62.50%64.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.58%66.67%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fabian Marozsan (Trasferta)
Previsione 37.53%2.66quota equa
EV -0.534%
Vantaggio -0.202%
Kelly -0.324%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.47%37.53%37.50%39.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.46%39.22%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -9.17%E -3.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.534%E -0.202%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| GTbets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.66%E -0.634%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -10.67%E -7.46%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 15:58 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |