Idioma:Español
Daniil Medvedev v Fabian Marozsan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Predicción 62.47%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.65%62.47%62.50%64.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.58%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fabian Marozsan (Visitante)
Predicción 37.53%2.66momio equitativo
EV -0.534%
Ventaja -0.202%
Kelly -0.324%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%37.53%37.50%39.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.46%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 62.47%; Fabian Marozsan (Visitante): 37.53%. Para Fabian Marozsan (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.65, con un valor esperado de -0.534%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -9.17%E -3.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.534%E -0.202%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 17:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.66%E -0.634%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -10.67%E -7.46%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 15:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |