L’École des cotes

Daniil Medvedev v Fabian Marozsan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 62.47%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -3.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.65%62.47%62.50%64.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.58%66.67%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.53%2.66cote équitable
EV -0.534%
Avantage -0.202%
Kelly -0.324%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.47%37.53%37.50%39.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.46%39.22%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -9.17%E -3.79%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:09
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 01:55
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.55%E -1.64%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 01:14
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 22:15
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 01:15
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 01:19
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.43%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:04
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:10
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:09
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:10
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:05
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:05
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 01:09
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.534%E -0.202%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 21:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:19
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:59
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:10
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:19
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:15
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 20:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:54
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:54
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:54
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:54
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:54
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:54
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:50
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:54
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.18%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.16%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:15
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.41%E -0.927%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 01:09
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:30
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.66%E -0.634%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -10.67%E -7.46%K -24.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 15:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-04-24 01:50
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%3.0%2026-04-24 01:10