La scuola delle quote

Cameron Norrie v Tomas Machac

Inizio: 2026-04-24 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cameron Norrie (Casa)

Previsione 44.85%2.23quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.610%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.44%44.83%44.88%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.152.2050.00%46.94%46.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Machac (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.15%1.81quota equa
EV -2.38%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.05%55.17%55.12%56.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.79%E -4.02%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 20:50
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.48%E -1.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 22:20
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.48%E -1.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:05
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:05
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:34
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 06:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.79%E -4.02%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:34
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.44%E -5.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.44%E -5.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:33
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:34
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:20
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.38%E -2.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:35
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:34
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:44
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.99%E -5.45%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:25
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.17%E -3.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:38
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.31%E -5.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.38%E -1.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.31%E -5.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 03:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-04-24 03:15