La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cameron Norrie v Tomas Machac
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Predicción 44.85%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.610%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.44%44.83%44.88%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.152.2050.00%46.94%46.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tomas Machac (Visitante)
Predicción 55.15%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.17%55.12%56.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.79%E -4.02%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.48%E -1.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.48%E -1.99%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| GTbets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 22:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.79%E -4.02%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.44%E -5.09%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.44%E -5.09%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:33 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.38%E -2.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:34 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.99%E -5.45%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.17%E -3.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:38 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:34 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.31%E -5.15%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.38%E -1.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.31%E -5.15%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Novig | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |