L’École des cotes

Cameron Norrie v Tomas Machac

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prévision 44.85%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.610%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.44%44.83%44.88%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.152.2050.00%46.94%46.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tomas Machac (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.15%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -3.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%55.17%55.12%56.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.79%E -4.02%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 20:50
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.48%E -1.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 22:20
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.48%E -1.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:05
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:05
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:34
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 06:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.79%E -4.02%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:34
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.44%E -5.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.44%E -5.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:33
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:34
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:20
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.38%E -2.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:35
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:34
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:44
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.99%E -5.45%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:25
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.17%E -3.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:38
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.31%E -5.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.38%E -1.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.31%E -5.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 03:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-04-24 03:15