مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cameron Norrie v Tomas Machac

البداية: 2026-04-24 14:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cameron Norrie (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.85%2.23السعر العادل
EV -1.34%
الأفضلية -0.610%
Kelly -1.12%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.44%44.83%44.88%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.132.152.2050.00%46.94%46.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tomas Machac (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.15%1.81السعر العادل
EV -2.38%
الأفضلية -1.34%
Kelly -3.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.05%55.17%55.12%56.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.34%E -0.610%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.79%E -4.02%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 20:50
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.48%E -1.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 22:20
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.48%E -1.99%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.24%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:05
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:05
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:34
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 06:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.79%E -4.02%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:34
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.44%E -5.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.44%E -5.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:33
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:34
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:20
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.38%E -2.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:35
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:34
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.89%E -4.73%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:44
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.83%E -2.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.99%E -5.45%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:25
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.17%E -3.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:38
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.24%E -3.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.31%E -5.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.38%E -1.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.31%E -5.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 03:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-04-24 03:15