La scuola delle quote

Alexei Popyrin v Martin Damm Jr.

Inizio: 2026-04-23 11:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Casa)

Previsione 63.35%1.58quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.757%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.00%63.30%63.41%65.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.71%66.67%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Martin Damm Jr. (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.65%2.73quota equa
EV +0.801%
Vantaggio +0.291%
Kelly +0.458%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.37%36.70%36.59%39.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.572.552.7541.67%38.94%39.22%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.801%E +0.291%K +0.458%G +0.004%5.8%2026-04-22 05:49
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.77%E -0.659%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 09:39
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.13%E -0.798%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:39
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 09:40
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:49
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 08:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:39
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 11:28
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:14
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:39
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:39
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:39
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:39
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:40
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:30
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 11:34
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 09:34
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 09:34
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 11:19
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 11:24
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:49
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:44
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%EV -6.90%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:14
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:35
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:49
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:49
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -10.56%E -4.33%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:14
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-23 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-04-23 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-04-23 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-04-23 11:34
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-04-23 11:35
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-04-23 11:35