مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexei Popyrin v Martin Damm Jr.

البداية: 2026-04-23 11:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.35%1.58السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.757%
Kelly -2.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.00%63.30%63.41%65.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.71%66.67%64.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Martin Damm Jr. (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.65%2.73السعر العادل
EV +0.801%
الأفضلية +0.291%
Kelly +0.458%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.37%36.70%36.59%39.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.572.552.7541.67%38.94%39.22%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.801%E +0.291%K +0.458%G +0.004%5.8%2026-04-22 05:49
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.77%E -0.659%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 09:39
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.13%E -0.798%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:39
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 09:40
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:49
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 08:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:39
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 11:28
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:14
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:39
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:39
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:39
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:39
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:40
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:30
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 11:34
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 09:34
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 09:34
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 11:19
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 11:24
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:04
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:49
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:44
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%EV -6.90%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:14
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:35
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:49
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:49
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -10.56%E -4.33%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:14
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-23 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-04-23 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-04-23 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-04-23 11:34
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-04-23 11:35
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-04-23 11:35