La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexei Popyrin v Martin Damm Jr.
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Predicción 63.35%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.757%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.00%63.30%63.41%65.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.71%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Martin Damm Jr. (Visitante)
Predicción 36.65%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.801%
Ventaja +0.291%
Kelly +0.458%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.70%36.59%39.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.552.7541.67%38.94%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.801%E +0.291%K +0.458%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 05:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.77%E -0.659%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.13%E -0.798%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 08:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 11:28 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%EV -6.90%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:49 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:49 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.36%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -1.18%E -0.757%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -10.56%E -4.33%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |