La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alexandre Muller v Jan-Lennard Struff
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alexandre Muller (Casa)
Previsione 58.12%1.72quota equa
EV -1.20%
Vantaggio -0.706%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.67%59.47%57.89%72.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.601.621.7077.52%62.37%61.73%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta)
Previsione 41.88%2.39quota equa
EV +42.40%
Vantaggio +12.47%
Kelly +17.67%
Crescita +7.49%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.51%40.53%42.11%45.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.282.233.4050.00%43.78%44.84%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -25.03%E -19.40%K -86.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +42.40%E +12.47%K +17.67%G +7.49% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -21.54%E -15.96%K -61.55%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV +32.77%E +10.34%K +15.10%G +4.95% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -13.99%E -9.45%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +13.08%E +4.85%K +7.70%G +1.01% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -13.99%E -9.45%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +4.71%E +1.88%K +3.14%G +0.148% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV +1.36%E +0.560%K +0.954%G +0.013% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.320%E -0.135%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.320%E -0.135%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.59%E -4.78%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.18%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.34%E -5.98%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -8.17%E -5.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |