Die Wettquotenschule

Alexandre Muller v Jan-Lennard Struff

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alexandre Muller (Heim)

Prognose 58.12%1.72faire Quote
EV -1.20%
Vorteil -0.706%
Kelly -1.71%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.67%59.47%57.89%72.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.291.601.621.7077.52%62.37%61.73%58.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.88%2.39faire Quote
EV +42.40%
Vorteil +12.47%
Kelly +17.67%
Wachstum +7.49%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.51%40.53%42.11%45.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.282.233.4050.00%43.78%44.84%29.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -25.03%E -19.40%K -86.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +42.40%E +12.47%K +17.67%G +7.49%6.9%2026-04-22 12:50
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -21.54%E -15.96%K -61.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV +32.77%E +10.34%K +15.10%G +4.95%5.6%2026-04-22 12:53
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -13.99%E -9.45%K -29.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +13.08%E +4.85%K +7.70%G +1.01%4.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -13.99%E -9.45%K -29.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +4.71%E +1.88%K +3.14%G +0.148%7.6%2026-04-22 12:55
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV +1.36%E +0.560%K +0.954%G +0.013%3.8%2026-04-22 12:44
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.320%E -0.135%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 12:54
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.320%E -0.135%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 12:49
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 12:54
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.59%E -4.78%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 12:54
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 12:54
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.18%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 12:54
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 12:54
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 12:54
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 12:54
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.34%E -5.98%K -16.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 12:54
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -8.17%E -5.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 12:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-04-22 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-04-22 12:54
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54