L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alexandre Muller v Jan-Lennard Struff
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexandre Muller (Local)
Prévision 58.12%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.706%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.67%59.47%57.89%72.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.601.621.7077.52%62.37%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.88%2.39cote équitable
EV +42.40%
Avantage +12.47%
Kelly +17.67%
Croissance +7.49%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.51%40.53%42.11%45.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.282.233.4050.00%43.78%44.84%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -25.03%E -19.40%K -86.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +42.40%E +12.47%K +17.67%G +7.49% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -21.54%E -15.96%K -61.55%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV +32.77%E +10.34%K +15.10%G +4.95% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -13.99%E -9.45%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +13.08%E +4.85%K +7.70%G +1.01% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -13.99%E -9.45%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +4.71%E +1.88%K +3.14%G +0.148% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV +1.36%E +0.560%K +0.954%G +0.013% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.320%E -0.135%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.320%E -0.135%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.59%E -4.78%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.51%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.18%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.34%E -5.98%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.20%E -0.706%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -8.17%E -5.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |