Language:English
Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Prediction 20.78%4.81fair odd
EV +20.73%
Edge +3.57%
Kelly +4.31%
Growth +0.893%
assuming max odds 5.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.52%20.87%20.84%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.404.385.8126.67%22.74%22.81%17.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 79.22%1.26fair odd
EV -0.182%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%79.13%79.16%83.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.201.2687.72%83.56%83.33%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 20.78%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 79.22%. For Alexander Blockx (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.81. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV +20.73%E +3.57%K +4.31%G +0.893% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +9.09%E +1.73%K +2.14%G +0.194% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +9.09%E +1.73%K +2.14%G +0.194% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +3.90%E +0.779%K +0.974%G +0.038% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV +0.779%E +0.161%K +0.202%G +0.002% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +0.779%E +0.161%K +0.202%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.30%E -0.273%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.30%E -0.273%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -3.38%E -0.726%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.29%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.29%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -7.53%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.38%EV -9.19%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.62%EV -0.182%E -0.144%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.03%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -14.39%E -3.49%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.01%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.81%E -3.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:12 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -15.64%E -3.85%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -20.00%E -5.19%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -22.08%E -5.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.38I 18.59%NM 18.11% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.89% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |