L’École des cotes

Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Prévision 20.78%4.81cote équitable
EV +20.73%
Avantage +3.57%
Kelly +4.31%
Croissance +0.893%

avec la cote maximale 5.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.52%20.87%20.84%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.404.385.8126.67%22.74%22.81%17.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.22%1.26cote équitable
EV -0.182%
Avantage -0.144%
Kelly -0.699%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%79.13%79.16%83.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.201.201.2687.72%83.56%83.33%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV +20.73%E +3.57%K +4.31%G +0.893%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +9.09%E +1.73%K +2.14%G +0.194%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:15
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +9.09%E +1.73%K +2.14%G +0.194%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:15
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +3.90%E +0.779%K +0.974%G +0.038%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:15
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV +0.779%E +0.161%K +0.202%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:15
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +0.779%E +0.161%K +0.202%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 18:15
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:15
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:15
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.30%E -0.273%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:15
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.30%E -0.273%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 18:15
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -3.38%E -0.726%K -0.925%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:15
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:15
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:15
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:15
LowVig.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.29%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:10
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.29%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:09
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:14
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:14
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:14
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:15
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:14
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:15
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -7.53%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:14
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:15
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 18:15
Pinnacle4.37I 22.88%NM 22.38%EV -9.19%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.62%EV -0.182%E -0.144%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 18:05
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:15
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:15
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.03%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:15
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:15
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:08
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:05
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:08
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:04
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:05
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:09
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:15
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 18:15
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 18:15
GTbets4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -14.39%E -3.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.01%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 17:59
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.81%E -3.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:12
1xBet4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -15.64%E -3.85%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 17:59
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:05
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:05
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 17:59
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:14
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -20.00%E -5.19%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 18:14
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:14
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:14
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:15
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -22.08%E -5.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-01 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-05-01 18:15
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-05-01 18:15
Novig5.38I 18.59%NM 18.11%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.89%2.6%2026-05-01 18:15
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%5.3%2026-05-01 18:15