La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Predicción 20.78%4.81momio equitativo
EV +20.73%
Ventaja +3.57%
Kelly +4.31%
Crecimiento +0.893%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.52%20.87%20.84%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.404.385.8126.67%22.74%22.81%17.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 79.22%1.26momio equitativo
EV -0.182%
Ventaja -0.144%
Kelly -0.699%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.25%79.13%79.16%83.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.201.201.2687.72%83.56%83.33%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV +20.73%E +3.57%K +4.31%G +0.893% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +9.09%E +1.73%K +2.14%G +0.194% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +9.09%E +1.73%K +2.14%G +0.194% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +3.90%E +0.779%K +0.974%G +0.038% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV +0.779%E +0.161%K +0.202%G +0.002% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +0.779%E +0.161%K +0.202%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| betPARX | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -0.260%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.30%E -0.273%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.30%E -0.273%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -3.38%E -0.726%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Coolbet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.29%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.29%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -7.53%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -8.90%E -7.74%K -59.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Pinnacle | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.38%EV -9.19%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.62%EV -0.182%E -0.144%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.61%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.03%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:08 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| GTbets | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99%EV -14.39%E -3.49%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.01%EV -2.56%E -2.08%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.81%E -3.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:12 |
| 1xBet | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -15.64%E -3.85%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.11%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -20.00%E -5.19%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.974%E -0.779%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -22.08%E -5.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Novig | 5.38I 18.59%NM 18.11% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.89% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |