A Escola das Odds

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Grigor Dimitrov

Início: 2026-04-23 12:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)

Previsão 49.97%2.00odd justa
EV +5.93%
Vantagem +2.80%
Kelly +5.29%
Crescimento +0.314%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.08%49.75%50.00%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.911.912.1255.56%52.46%52.36%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante)

Previsão 50.03%2.00odd justa
EV +0.068%
Vantagem +0.034%
Kelly +0.068%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.45%50.25%50.00%54.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.881.882.0057.47%53.10%53.33%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +5.93%E +2.80%K +5.29%G +0.314%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:19
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV +0.431%E +0.215%K +0.427%G +0.002%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 12:19
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.068%E -0.034%K -0.068%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:10
NordicBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.568%E -0.285%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:14
Betsson1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.568%E -0.285%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.57%E -0.796%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -1.57%E -0.796%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -9.44%E -5.21%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:14
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:15
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:24
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:24
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:24
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 06:00
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 08:38
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 08:39
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:00
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.44%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:56
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93%EV -7.94%E -4.31%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93%EV -7.94%E -4.31%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Bet Right1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:20
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.06%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.068%E +0.034%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 11:10
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.06%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.06%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:20
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.43%E -0.727%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 12:14
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -1.93%E -0.986%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 12:14
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 05:24
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 20:25
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -7.06%E -3.80%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 11:00
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 20:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.44%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:12
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 20:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 20:49
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 20:49
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.06%E -5.59%K -12.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-23 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-23 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-23 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-23 12:14
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-04-23 12:13