La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Grigor Dimitrov
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Casa)
Previsione 49.97%2.00quota equa
EV +5.93%
Vantaggio +2.80%
Kelly +5.29%
Crescita +0.314%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.08%49.75%50.00%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.911.912.1255.56%52.46%52.36%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grigor Dimitrov (Trasferta)
Previsione 50.03%2.00quota equa
EV +0.068%
Vantaggio +0.034%
Kelly +0.068%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.45%50.25%50.00%54.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.881.882.0057.47%53.10%53.33%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +5.93%E +2.80%K +5.29%G +0.314% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV +0.431%E +0.215%K +0.427%G +0.002% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.068%E -0.034%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.568%E -0.285%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Betsson | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.568%E -0.285%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.57%E -0.796%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -1.57%E -0.796%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -9.44%E -5.21%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 08:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.44%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 11:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93%EV -7.94%E -4.31%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93%EV -7.94%E -4.31%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.06%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.068%E +0.034%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.06%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.06%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.43%E -0.727%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -1.93%E -0.986%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 05:24 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 20:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -7.06%E -3.80%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.44%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:12 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 20:49 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 20:49 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.06%E -5.59%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Novig | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 12:13 |