Language:English
Lorenzo Musetti v Arthur Fery
Head to Head
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Prediction 65.78%1.52fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -5.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.14%65.61%65.63%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.421.4871.43%70.46%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fery (Visit)
Prediction 34.22%2.92fair odd
EV +2.67%
Edge +0.890%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%34.39%34.37%36.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.822.753.0040.82%35.47%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lorenzo Musetti (Local): 65.78%; Arthur Fery (Visit): 34.22%. For Arthur Fery (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 11 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.67%E +0.890%K +1.34%G +0.036% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 05:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +1.99%E +0.666%K +1.00%G +0.020% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.46%E -0.864%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-29 05:26 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.46%E -0.864%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -2.81%E -0.988%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 05:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 05:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 05:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 05:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 06:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 06:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.60%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.60%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.60%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 05:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.60%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.60%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 06:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.65%E -1.79%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.31%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 06:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -16.15%E -6.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-29 06:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 06:15 |