默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lorenzo Musetti v Arthur Fery

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lorenzo Musetti (主队)

预测 66.82%1.50公平赔率
EV -2.44%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -5.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.46

博彩公司预测分布
64.39%66.67%66.67%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.401.401.4672.46%71.26%71.43%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arthur Fery (客队)

预测 33.18%3.01公平赔率
EV +0.866%
优势 +0.285%
Kelly +0.425%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 3.04

博彩公司预测分布
31.51%33.33%33.33%35.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.872.903.0439.22%34.80%34.48%32.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Lorenzo Musetti (主队):66.82%;Arthur Fery (客队):33.18%。 对于“Arthur Fery (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.01。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.04,由此产生+0.866%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.866%E +0.285%K +0.425%G +0.004%3.8%2026-09-29 08:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:54
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:55
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.461%E -0.154%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:55
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -0.793%E -0.265%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-29 08:00
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.12%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 08:00
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 07:47
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 08:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 07:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 07:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 07:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 08:04
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 08:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-29 08:00
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 08:00
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 08:00
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.10%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-29 08:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 05:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 05:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 05:45
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 07:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 07:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.44%E -1.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.41%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 08:00
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.11%E -2.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.41%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.11%E -2.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.41%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 05:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -15.39%E -6.04%K -9.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 08:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-29 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-09-29 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-09-29 07:54
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-29 08:00