Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar v Kyrian Jacquet

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 02:07 UTC

Final: Jaume Munar 2–0 Kyrian Jacquet

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prediction 57.93%1.73fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%57.98%57.84%59.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.621.6964.94%61.64%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Visit)

Prediction 42.07%2.38fair odd
EV -0.714%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.525%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%42.02%42.16%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.3647.62%44.24%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaume Munar (Local): 57.93%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 42.07%. For Kyrian Jacquet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.36, with an expected value of -0.714%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.10%E -1.24%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.82%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-03 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 01:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 21:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.45%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 15:05
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 15:05
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.14%E -0.483%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 01:55
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.92%E -2.18%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 20:55
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.92%E -2.18%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 14:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 01:55
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.76%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 01:55
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.45%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 15:06
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 15:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.00%E -3.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.714%E -0.303%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 01:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.00%E -3.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.714%E -0.303%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 01:55
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.00%E -3.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.92%E -2.18%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.00%E -3.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.00%E -3.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%EV -5.57%E -3.42%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%EV -4.92%E -2.18%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.57%E -3.42%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.57%E -3.42%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.76%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 12:55
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.57%E -3.42%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.76%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.15%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.15%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 01:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.15%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:26
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:26
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:25
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:25
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:24
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:26
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:26
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 01:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 01:55
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 20:55
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-04 01:50
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.45%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 20:54
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.45%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 20:56
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.47%E -5.36%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 13:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.47%E -5.36%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 01:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.47%E -5.36%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-03 12:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 20:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -10.79%E -7.01%K -19.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.45%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -10.79%E -7.01%K -19.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-10-04 01:55
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-10-04 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-10-04 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-10-04 01:55