Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar v Kyrian Jacquet

2026-10-04 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prediction 59.50%1.68fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.80%59.70%59.41%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.541.6568.97%64.57%64.94%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Visit)

Prediction 40.50%2.47fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.069%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%40.30%40.59%42.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.352.5545.45%41.87%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jaume Munar (Local): 59.50%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 40.50%. For Kyrian Jacquet (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 13 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +3.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%4.6%2026-10-02 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.55%E -6.29%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.0%2026-10-02 11:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.55%E -6.29%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.0%2026-10-02 11:56
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:56
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:56
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.27%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.4%2026-10-02 11:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -13.72%E -9.46%K -30.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -1.59%E -0.656%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 11:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -2.40%E -0.998%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 12:06
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 11:45
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 11:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 11:39
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.24%E -2.24%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 11:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.24%E -2.24%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -6.45%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 11:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 11:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 11:55
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.79%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -1.82%E -1.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -8.48%E -3.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 11:40
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -9.69%E -4.35%K -7.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 11:40
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -9.69%E -4.35%K -7.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.55%E -6.29%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -10.91%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-02 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.91%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-02 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%9.3%2026-10-02 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%9.3%2026-10-02 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%9.3%2026-10-02 12:50
Arbitrage (13 combinations) +0.18%DraftKings 1.65 (60.7%) / Unibet (NL) 2.55 (39.3%)Show all 13 combinations
Jaume Munar (Local)Kyrian Jacquet (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Virgin Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)BetRivers🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Casumo🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%