StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jaume Munar v Kyrian Jacquet

2026-10-04 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jaume Munar (Heim)

Prognose 59.40%1.68faire Quote
EV -1.98%
Vorteil -1.20%
Kelly -3.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.80%59.59%59.38%62.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.451.561.571.6568.97%64.05%63.69%60.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Auswärts)

Prognose 40.60%2.46faire Quote
EV +3.52%
Vorteil +1.38%
Kelly +2.27%
Wachstum +0.080%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.19%40.41%40.62%42.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.362.342.5545.45%42.33%42.74%39.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Jaume Munar (Heim): 59.40%; Kyrian Jacquet (Auswärts): 40.60%. Für Kyrian Jacquet (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.46. 13 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.55 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +3.52%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%4.6%2026-10-02 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.0%2026-10-02 11:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.0%2026-10-02 11:56
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:56
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:56
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +3.52%E +1.38%K +2.27%G +0.080%5.4%2026-10-02 11:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -13.87%E -9.56%K -30.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -1.35%E -0.555%K -0.944%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 11:56
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.57%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 11:45
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.57%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -2.97%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 13:36
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.79%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-02 13:01
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.00%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.00%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 11:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.00%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -6.22%E -2.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 11:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-02 13:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 11:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 13:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 13:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -8.25%E -3.65%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 13:24
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 13:24
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 11:40
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 13:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 13:25
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 13:29
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 13:32
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -9.47%E -4.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 11:40
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -9.47%E -4.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -10.69%E -4.86%K -8.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-02 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.69%E -4.86%K -8.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-02 11:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 60.62%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.38%8.5%2026-10-02 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 60.62%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.38%8.5%2026-10-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%9.3%2026-10-02 12:50
Arbitrage (26 Kombinationen) +0.18%DraftKings 1.65 (60.7%) / Unibet (NL) 2.55 (39.3%)Alle 26 Kombinationen anzeigen
Jaume Munar (Heim)Kyrian Jacquet (Auswärts)Marge
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Virgin Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)BetRivers🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Casumo🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Virgin Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)BetRivers🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Casumo🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Unibet🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%