Language:English
Holger Rune v Kyrian Jacquet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Holger Rune (Local)
Prediction 61.40%1.63fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.48%61.54%63.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.541.5869.44%65.05%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kyrian Jacquet (Visit)
Prediction 38.60%2.59fair odd
EV +0.362%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.226%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.52%38.52%38.46%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.452.452.6042.55%40.89%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holger Rune (Local): 61.40%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 38.60%. For Kyrian Jacquet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.362%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.29%E -4.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.362%E +0.139%K +0.226%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 03:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -8.52%E -5.71%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.57%E -0.615%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-01 01:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.99%E -1.89%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.34%E -0.925%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-01 03:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.34%E -0.925%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.34%E -0.925%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -5.04%E -2.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 03:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 04:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 03:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-30 07:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.81%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 02:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.20%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.59%E -2.72%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -6.97%E -2.89%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 03:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-30 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 01:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 02:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -8.13%E -3.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.29%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.29%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |