Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Holger Rune v Kyrian Jacquet

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Holger Rune (Casa)

Previsione 60.90%1.64quota equa
EV -3.17%
Vantaggio -1.99%
Kelly -5.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.28%61.19%60.90%64.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.541.531.5968.97%64.94%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.10%2.56quota equa
EV +1.66%
Vantaggio +0.640%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.80%38.81%39.10%40.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.432.422.6043.48%41.16%41.32%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Holger Rune (Casa): 60.90%; Kyrian Jacquet (Trasferta): 39.10%. Per Kyrian Jacquet (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.56. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 2.60, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.66%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.70%E -8.07%K -25.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.66%E +0.640%K +1.04%G +0.017%7.4%2026-09-29 07:55
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:30
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:30
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:30
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 07:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.65%E -5.77%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 07:49
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.00%E -3.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 08:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.03%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:54
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 07:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.20%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-29 07:57
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.20%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 07:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.22%E -4.04%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.20%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 07:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 08:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.43%E -4.89%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 07:50
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 07:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.22%E -4.04%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -10.48%E -7.13%K -22.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-29 05:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:50
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 07:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 07:56
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.78%E -2.39%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 08:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.65%E -5.77%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 07:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-09-29 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-09-29 07:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-09-29 07:50