StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Holger Rune v Kyrian Jacquet

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Holger Rune (Hemma)

Prognos 60.90%1.64rättvist odds
EV -3.17%
Fördel -1.99%
Kelly -5.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.28%61.19%60.90%64.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.451.541.531.5968.97%64.95%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Borta)

Prognos 39.10%2.56rättvist odds
EV +1.66%
Fördel +0.640%
Kelly +1.04%
Tillväxt +0.017%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.80%38.81%39.10%40.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.432.422.6043.48%41.14%41.32%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Holger Rune (Hemma): 60.90%; Kyrian Jacquet (Borta): 39.10%. För Kyrian Jacquet (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.56. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.60, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.66%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.70%E -8.07%K -25.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.66%E +0.640%K +1.04%G +0.017%7.4%2026-09-29 07:55
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -1.46%E -0.581%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 08:05
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:30
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:30
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:30
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 07:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.65%E -5.77%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 07:49
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -3.17%E -1.99%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.03%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-29 08:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.03%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:54
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 07:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.20%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-29 07:57
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.00%E -3.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 08:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 08:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.43%E -4.89%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 07:50
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.22%E -4.04%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -10.48%E -7.13%K -22.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-29 05:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 07:50
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 07:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 07:56
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.78%E -2.39%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 08:00
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.78%E -2.39%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 08:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.65%E -5.77%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 07:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-09-29 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-09-29 07:54