Language:English
Tommy Paul v Aleksandar Vukic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 88.94%1.12fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -11.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%88.81%88.82%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.1197.09%93.49%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aleksandar Vukic (Visit)
Prediction 11.06%9.04fair odd
EV +10.57%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.124%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.19%11.18%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.398.5010.0014.29%11.92%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 88.94%; Aleksandar Vukic (Visit): 11.06%. For Aleksandar Vukic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.04. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +10.57%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.124% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +6.15%E +0.641%K +0.715%G +0.044% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.59%EV -3.05%E -2.80%K -33.92%G +0.000% | 9.38I 10.66%NM 10.41%EV +3.72%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +0.622%E +0.068%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.61%E -6.30%K -132.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.39%E -8.14%K -279.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -2.70%E -0.306%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -2.70%E -0.306%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -3.80%E -0.437%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -5.57%E -0.652%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -5.57%E -0.652%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.17%EV -1.27%E -1.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.83%EV -8.56%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.78%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -8.78%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -9.33%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.99% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 10.01% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |