La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tommy Paul v Aleksandar Vukic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tommy Paul (Local)
Predicción 88.94%1.12momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -11.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.63%88.81%88.82%90.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.071.071.1197.09%93.49%93.46%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aleksandar Vukic (Visitante)
Predicción 11.06%9.04momio equitativo
EV +10.57%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.124%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.58%11.19%11.18%13.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.398.5010.0014.29%11.92%11.76%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +10.57%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.124% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +6.15%E +0.641%K +0.715%G +0.044% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.59%EV -3.05%E -2.80%K -33.92%G +0.000% | 9.38I 10.66%NM 10.41%EV +3.72%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +0.622%E +0.068%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.61%E -6.30%K -132.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.39%E -8.14%K -279.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -2.70%E -0.306%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -2.70%E -0.306%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -3.80%E -0.437%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betsson | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| ReBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -5.57%E -0.652%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -5.57%E -0.652%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Casumo | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| betPARX | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| GTbets | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.17%EV -1.27%E -1.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.83%EV -8.56%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.78%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -8.78%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -9.33%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| Betway | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BetUS | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| TAB | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Everygame | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Caesars | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Novig | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.99% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 10.01% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |