مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tommy Paul v Aleksandar Vukic

البداية: 2026-05-08 15:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tommy Paul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 88.94%1.12السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -1.15%
Kelly -11.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
86.63%88.81%88.82%90.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.031.071.071.1197.09%93.49%93.46%90.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aleksandar Vukic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.06%9.04السعر العادل
EV +10.57%
الأفضلية +1.06%
Kelly +1.17%
النمو +0.124%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.58%11.19%11.18%13.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.008.398.5010.0014.29%11.92%11.76%10.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +10.57%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.124%4.3%2026-05-08 15:25
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +6.15%E +0.641%K +0.715%G +0.044%4.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030%3.1%2026-05-08 15:24
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030%3.1%2026-05-08 15:24
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030%4.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.05%E +0.531%K +0.594%G +0.030%4.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.59%EV -3.05%E -2.80%K -33.92%G +0.000%9.38I 10.66%NM 10.41%EV +3.72%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016%2.4%2026-05-08 15:25
1xBet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +0.622%E +0.068%K +0.077%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 15:24
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.61%E -6.30%K -132.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:24
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.39%E -8.14%K -279.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -0.484%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 15:25
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -2.70%E -0.306%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -2.70%E -0.306%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:20
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -3.80%E -0.437%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 15:25
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:24
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:25
ReBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -4.91%E -0.571%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:24
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -5.57%E -0.652%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 15:25
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -5.57%E -0.652%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 15:24
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:35
Unibet (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.01%E -0.707%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.17%EV -1.27%E -1.15%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.27I 12.09%NM 11.83%EV -8.56%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-08 15:24
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.78%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:24
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -8.78%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 15:24
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -9.33%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:21
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:24
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:24
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:24
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:25
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.54%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:25
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.72%E -5.40%K -95.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 15:25
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 15:25
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -19.83%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:24
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.94%E -3.65%K -49.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.83%E -4.52%K -69.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 15:21
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-08 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-08 15:24
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-08 15:25
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 89.99%9.71I 10.30%NM 10.01%2.9%2026-05-08 15:34