Language:English
Tallon Griekspoor v Alexander Blockx
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Prediction 39.87%2.51fair odd
EV +13.24%
Edge +4.66%
Kelly +7.19%
Growth +0.952%
assuming max odds 2.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%40.00%40.05%47.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.362.302.8450.76%42.35%43.48%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Blockx (Visit)
Prediction 60.13%1.66fair odd
EV +8.83%
Edge +4.88%
Kelly +10.90%
Growth +0.963%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.12%60.00%59.95%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.581.571.8170.42%63.47%63.69%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 39.87%; Alexander Blockx (Visit): 60.13%. For Tallon Griekspoor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -21.45%E -10.89%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +8.83%E +4.88%K +10.90%G +0.963% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +5.22%E +2.98%K +6.96%G +0.364% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +4.62%E +2.66%K +6.25%G +0.289% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +4.02%E +2.32%K +5.51%G +0.221% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -13.88%E -6.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -13.88%E -6.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -14.27%E -6.64%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +1.62%E +0.956%K +2.34%G +0.038% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -14.67%E -6.86%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV +1.01%E +0.604%K +1.49%G +0.015% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -20.25%E -10.13%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV +1.01%E +0.604%K +1.49%G +0.015% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -14.67%E -6.86%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV +0.413%E +0.247%K +0.616%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.08%E -4.97%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.39%E -0.848%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -1.39%E -0.848%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.99%E -1.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.31%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.21%E -6.10%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +5.66%E +2.14%K +3.43%G +0.194% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 15:53 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +3.67%E +1.41%K +2.29%G +0.084% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.31%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +8.45%E +3.11%K +4.91%G +0.415% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +8.45%E +3.11%K +4.91%G +0.415% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV +13.24%E +4.66%K +7.19%G +0.952% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +10.45%E +3.77%K +5.90%G +0.617% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -12.21%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -12.21%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.47%E +1.70%K +2.76%G +0.123% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +11.64%E +4.16%K +6.47%G +0.753% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -13.42%E -9.32%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +12.04%E +4.29%K +6.65%G +0.801% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -14.02%E -9.80%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +9.65%E +3.51%K +5.51%G +0.532% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -14.62%E -10.30%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |