L’École des cotes

Tallon Griekspoor v Alexander Blockx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tallon Griekspoor (Local)

Prévision 39.87%2.51cote équitable
EV +13.24%
Avantage +4.66%
Kelly +7.19%
Croissance +0.952%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%40.00%40.05%47.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.362.302.8450.76%42.35%43.48%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Blockx (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.13%1.66cote équitable
EV +8.83%
Avantage +4.88%
Kelly +10.90%
Croissance +0.963%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.12%60.00%59.95%66.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.581.571.8170.42%63.47%63.69%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -21.45%E -10.89%K -22.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +8.83%E +4.88%K +10.90%G +0.963%6.0%2026-05-08 15:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +5.22%E +2.98%K +6.96%G +0.364%5.9%2026-05-08 15:55
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +4.62%E +2.66%K +6.25%G +0.289%6.3%2026-05-08 15:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +4.02%E +2.32%K +5.51%G +0.221%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -13.88%E -6.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070%5.1%2026-05-08 15:54
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -13.88%E -6.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070%5.1%2026-05-08 15:54
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070%6.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -14.27%E -6.64%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +1.62%E +0.956%K +2.34%G +0.038%5.7%2026-05-08 15:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -14.67%E -6.86%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV +1.01%E +0.604%K +1.49%G +0.015%6.3%2026-05-08 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -20.25%E -10.13%K -20.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV +1.01%E +0.604%K +1.49%G +0.015%9.5%2026-05-08 15:54
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -14.67%E -6.86%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV +0.413%E +0.247%K +0.616%G +0.003%6.6%2026-05-08 15:54
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:54
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:54
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:54
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 15:54
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.08%E -4.97%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.39%E -0.848%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -1.39%E -0.848%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 15:55
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.99%E -1.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:54
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:54
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 15:55
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 15:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 15:54
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 15:54
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-08 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:54
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 15:54
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 15:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 15:54
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:54
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:54
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:54
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 15:54
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.31%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 15:54
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 15:54
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 15:54
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.21%E -6.10%K -18.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +5.66%E +2.14%K +3.43%G +0.194%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 15:53
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +3.67%E +1.41%K +2.29%G +0.084%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:41
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.31%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 15:54
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +8.45%E +3.11%K +4.91%G +0.415%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:09
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +8.45%E +3.11%K +4.91%G +0.415%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:09
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV +13.24%E +4.66%K +7.19%G +0.952%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 15:39
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 15:09
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 15:54
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:41
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +10.45%E +3.77%K +5.90%G +0.617%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -12.21%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 15:39
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -12.21%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 15:09
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:29
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.47%E +1.70%K +2.76%G +0.123%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:53
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +11.64%E +4.16%K +6.47%G +0.753%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -13.42%E -9.32%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:34
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +12.04%E +4.29%K +6.65%G +0.801%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -14.02%E -9.80%K -32.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 15:29
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +9.65%E +3.51%K +5.51%G +0.532%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -14.62%E -10.30%K -34.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-05-08 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-08 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-05-08 15:54
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%4.0%2026-05-08 15:54
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%8.3%2026-05-08 15:54