Idioma:Español
Tallon Griekspoor v Alexander Blockx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Predicción 39.87%2.51momio equitativo
EV +13.24%
Ventaja +4.66%
Kelly +7.19%
Crecimiento +0.952%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%40.00%40.05%47.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.362.302.8450.76%42.35%43.48%35.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Blockx (Visitante)
Predicción 60.13%1.66momio equitativo
EV +8.83%
Ventaja +4.88%
Kelly +10.90%
Crecimiento +0.963%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.12%60.00%59.95%66.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.581.571.8170.42%63.47%63.69%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 39.87%; Alexander Blockx (Visitante): 60.13%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.84, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -21.45%E -10.89%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +8.83%E +4.88%K +10.90%G +0.963% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +5.22%E +2.98%K +6.96%G +0.364% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +4.62%E +2.66%K +6.25%G +0.289% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +4.02%E +2.32%K +5.51%G +0.221% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -13.88%E -6.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -13.88%E -6.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +2.22%E +1.30%K +3.17%G +0.070% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -14.27%E -6.64%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +1.62%E +0.956%K +2.34%G +0.038% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -14.67%E -6.86%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV +1.01%E +0.604%K +1.49%G +0.015% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -20.25%E -10.13%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV +1.01%E +0.604%K +1.49%G +0.015% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -14.67%E -6.86%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV +0.413%E +0.247%K +0.616%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -0.790%E -0.479%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.08%E -4.97%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.39%E -0.848%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -1.39%E -0.848%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.99%E -1.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -18.26%E -8.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.31%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.21%E -6.10%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +5.66%E +2.14%K +3.43%G +0.194% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 15:53 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +3.67%E +1.41%K +2.29%G +0.084% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.31%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +8.45%E +3.11%K +4.91%G +0.415% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +8.45%E +3.11%K +4.91%G +0.415% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV +13.24%E +4.66%K +7.19%G +0.952% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -11.01%E -7.44%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +10.45%E +3.77%K +5.90%G +0.617% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -12.21%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -12.21%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +7.66%E +2.84%K +4.50%G +0.345% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.47%E +1.70%K +2.76%G +0.123% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +11.64%E +4.16%K +6.47%G +0.753% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -13.42%E -9.32%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +12.04%E +4.29%K +6.65%G +0.801% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -14.02%E -9.80%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +9.65%E +3.51%K +5.51%G +0.532% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -14.62%E -10.30%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |