Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikoloz Basilashvili v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-05-09 15:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local)

Previsão 23.54%4.25odd justa
EV +8.27%
Vantagem +1.80%
Kelly +2.30%
Crescimento +0.190%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.69%23.51%23.66%25.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.014.004.6026.67%24.91%25.00%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 76.46%1.31odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -2.28%
Kelly -10.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.95%76.49%76.34%79.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.52%80.00%78.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local): 23.54%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 76.46%. Para Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.25. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.27%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +8.27%E +1.80%K +2.30%G +0.190%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 15:10
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.92%E +1.31%K +1.69%G +0.100%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 15:10
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.92%E +1.31%K +1.69%G +0.100%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +1.21%E +0.281%K +0.366%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.14%E -0.272%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 15:10
Pinnacle🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -1.62%E -0.386%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 15:10
Fanatics🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.32%E -0.559%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 15:10
GTbets🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV -3.26%E -0.794%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 15:09
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:10
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:08
Fliff🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -4.91%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -4.91%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:10
DraftKings🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -5.15%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 15:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:09
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 15:09
1xBet🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 15:10
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
BetRivers🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Bally Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.73%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 15:09
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 15:09
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:09
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:09
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 15:10
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-09 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-09 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%2.7%2026-05-09 15:10
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%2.8%2026-05-09 15:10