Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nikoloz Basilashvili v Ben Shelton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 15:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local)

Prévision 23.54%4.25cote équitable
EV +8.27%
Avantage +1.80%
Kelly +2.30%
Croissance +0.190%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%23.51%23.66%25.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.014.004.6026.67%24.91%25.00%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ben Shelton (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.46%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -10.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.95%76.49%76.34%79.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.52%80.00%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local) : 23.54% ; Ben Shelton (Visiteur) : 76.46%. Pour Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.25. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +8.27%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +8.27%E +1.80%K +2.30%G +0.190%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 15:10
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.92%E +1.31%K +1.69%G +0.100%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 15:10
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.92%E +1.31%K +1.69%G +0.100%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +1.21%E +0.281%K +0.366%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.14%E -0.272%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 15:10
Pinnacle🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -1.62%E -0.386%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 15:10
Fanatics🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.32%E -0.559%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 15:10
GTbets🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV -3.26%E -0.794%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 15:09
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:10
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:08
Fliff🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -4.91%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -4.91%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:10
DraftKings🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -5.15%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 15:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:09
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 15:09
1xBet🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 15:10
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
BetRivers🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Bally Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.73%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 15:09
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 15:09
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:09
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:09
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 15:10
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-09 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-09 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-09 15:09
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%2.7%2026-05-09 15:10
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%2.8%2026-05-09 15:10