La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local)
Predicción 23.54%4.25momio equitativo
EV +8.27%
Ventaja +1.80%
Kelly +2.30%
Crecimiento +0.190%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.69%23.51%23.66%25.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.014.004.6026.67%24.91%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 76.46%1.31momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -10.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.95%76.49%76.34%79.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.52%80.00%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +8.27%E +1.80%K +2.30%G +0.190% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.92%E +1.31%K +1.69%G +0.100% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.92%E +1.31%K +1.69%G +0.100% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +1.21%E +0.281%K +0.366%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.14%E -0.272%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -1.62%E -0.386%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Fanatics | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.32%E -0.559%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| GTbets | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV -3.26%E -0.794%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Betsson | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| NordicBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| ReBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:08 |
| Fliff | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -4.91%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -4.91%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.66%E -2.90%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -5.15%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Bally Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.73%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.89%E -2.28%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.42%E -3.54%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.19%E -4.18%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.72%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Novig | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |