Idioma:Português
Lorenzo Sonego v Ignacio Buse
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Previsão 40.41%2.47odd justa
EV -0.983%
Vantagem -0.401%
Kelly -0.678%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.90%40.52%40.45%42.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.73%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ignacio Buse (Visitante)
Previsão 59.59%1.68odd justa
EV -0.493%
Vantagem -0.295%
Kelly -0.736%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.07%59.48%59.55%61.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.591.591.6765.79%62.87%62.89%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lorenzo Sonego (Local): 40.41%; Ignacio Buse (Visitante): 59.59%. Para Ignacio Buse (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.68. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.67, com valor esperado de -0.493%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.983%E -0.401%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.983%E -0.401%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 09:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 06:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 06:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.83%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.85%E -3.44%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -8.66%E -3.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -10.28%E -4.63%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -0.493%E -0.295%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |