L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Lorenzo Sonego v Ignacio Buse
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Prévision 40.41%2.47cote équitable
EV -0.983%
Avantage -0.401%
Kelly -0.678%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%40.52%40.45%42.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.73%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ignacio Buse (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.59%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.493%
Avantage -0.295%
Kelly -0.736%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.07%59.48%59.55%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.591.591.6765.79%62.87%62.89%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.983%E -0.401%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.983%E -0.401%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 15:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 09:30 |
| GTbets | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Betsson | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| ReBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 06:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 06:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.83%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.85%E -3.44%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -8.66%E -3.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -10.28%E -4.63%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -0.493%E -0.295%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Novig | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |