مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lorenzo Sonego v Ignacio Buse

البداية: 2026-05-07 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.41%2.47السعر العادل
EV -0.983%
الأفضلية -0.401%
Kelly -0.678%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.90%40.52%40.45%42.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.73%42.55%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ignacio Buse (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.59%1.68السعر العادل
EV -0.493%
الأفضلية -0.295%
Kelly -0.736%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.07%59.48%59.55%61.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.591.591.6765.79%62.87%62.89%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.983%E -0.401%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 09:30
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.983%E -0.401%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 15:05
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 17:05
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 07:14
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 09:30
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 15:24
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 16:55
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 16:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:09
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:09
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:09
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Betsson2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 16:50
NordicBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 16:50
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:04
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 05:05
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 16:54
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:34
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 10:05
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:10
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 10:30
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 06:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 10:30
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 05:05
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.83%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 07:09
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 16:55
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 07:10
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 07:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 20:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 10:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 10:30
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.85%E -3.44%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 16:25
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -8.66%E -3.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 16:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:25
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 16:29
DraftKings2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -10.28%E -4.63%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -0.493%E -0.295%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 16:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-07 16:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-07 16:55
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-05-07 16:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-05-07 16:55