Die Wettquotenschule

Lorenzo Sonego v Ignacio Buse

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-07 17:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Heim)

Prognose 40.41%2.47faire Quote
EV -0.983%
Vorteil -0.401%
Kelly -0.678%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.90%40.52%40.45%42.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.73%42.55%40.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Ignacio Buse (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.59%1.68faire Quote
EV -0.493%
Vorteil -0.295%
Kelly -0.736%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.07%59.48%59.55%61.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.521.591.591.6765.79%62.87%62.89%59.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.983%E -0.401%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 09:30
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.983%E -0.401%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 15:05
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 17:05
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 07:14
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 09:30
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 15:24
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 16:55
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 16:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:09
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:09
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:09
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Betsson2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 16:50
NordicBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 16:50
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.62%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:04
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 05:05
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 16:54
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:34
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 10:05
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:10
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 10:30
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.05%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 06:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.02%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 10:30
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 05:05
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.83%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 07:09
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 16:55
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 07:10
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 07:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 13:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 20:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 10:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 10:30
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.85%E -3.44%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 16:25
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -8.66%E -3.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 16:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.88%E -1.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:25
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 16:29
DraftKings2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -10.28%E -4.63%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -0.493%E -0.295%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 16:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-07 16:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-07 16:55
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-05-07 16:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-05-07 16:55