Language:English
Learner Tien v Alexander Bublik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd
EV -0.249%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.133%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.72%34.52%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.702.672.8838.46%37.09%37.38%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Visit)
Prediction 65.36%1.53fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.28%65.48%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.52%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 34.64%; Alexander Bublik (Visit): 65.36%. For Learner Tien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -0.249%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.249%E -0.087%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.942%E -0.329%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.29%E -0.452%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.63%E -0.576%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.67%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 15:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.49%E -6.06%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.18%E -5.06%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.06%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |