Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien v Alexander Bublik

Início: 2026-05-10 15:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien (Local)

Previsão 34.64%2.89odd justa
EV -0.249%
Vantagem -0.087%
Kelly -0.133%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.18%34.72%34.52%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.702.672.8838.46%37.09%37.38%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Bublik (Visitante)

Previsão 65.36%1.53odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -3.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.28%65.48%66.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.52%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Learner Tien (Local): 34.64%; Alexander Bublik (Visitante): 65.36%. Para Learner Tien (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.89. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.88, com valor esperado de -0.249%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.249%E -0.087%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 15:34
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.942%E -0.329%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 15:34
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.29%E -0.452%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 15:34
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.63%E -0.576%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.67%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 15:35
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 15:33
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.49%E -6.06%K -21.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:35
GTbets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 15:34
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:34
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.18%E -5.06%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 15:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:35
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:34
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:34
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.06%K -21.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:34
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:34
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:35
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:35
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Novig2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.7%2026-05-10 15:35