Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Learner Tien v Alexander Bublik

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 15:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Learner Tien (Local)

Prévision 34.64%2.89cote équitable
EV -0.249%
Avantage -0.087%
Kelly -0.133%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.18%34.72%34.52%36.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.702.672.8838.46%37.09%37.38%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alexander Bublik (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.36%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -3.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%65.28%65.48%66.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.52%68.97%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Learner Tien (Local) : 34.64% ; Alexander Bublik (Visiteur) : 65.36%. Pour Learner Tien (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.89. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.88, pour une espérance de -0.249% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.249%E -0.087%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 15:34
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.942%E -0.329%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 15:34
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.29%E -0.452%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 15:34
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.63%E -0.576%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.67%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 15:35
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 15:33
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.49%E -6.06%K -21.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:35
GTbets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 15:34
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:34
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.18%E -5.06%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 15:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:35
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:34
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:34
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.06%K -21.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.26%E -2.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:34
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:34
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:35
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.95%E -1.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:35
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Novig2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.7%2026-05-10 15:35