Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.67
assuming max odds 1.59
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 37.54%; Dino Prizmic (Visit): 62.46%. For Karen Khachanov (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.227%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV +0.227%E +0.085%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 08:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.43%E -6.50%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 01:37 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.899%E -0.341%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 08:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -1.27%E -0.485%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 06:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 06:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.43%E -6.50%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.65%E -1.83%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -5.78%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -5.78%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 22:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -6.91%E -2.78%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 08:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -7.28%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.686%E -0.431%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.686%E -0.431%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.94%E -1.23%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.79%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -11.79%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Novig◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |