La escuela de los momios

Karen Khachanov v Dino Prizmic

Inicio: 2026-05-12 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Predicción 37.54%2.66momio equitativo
EV +0.227%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.136%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.37%37.59%37.42%39.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.552.6742.55%39.60%39.22%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dino Prizmic (Visitante)

Predicción 62.46%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.431%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.15%62.41%62.58%64.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.501.5968.97%65.94%66.67%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV +0.227%E +0.085%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:09
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.43%E -6.50%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 01:37
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.899%E -0.341%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 08:10
GTbets2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -1.27%E -0.485%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 19:05
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:49
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:15
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:20
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:44
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 08:49
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:49
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:50
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:50
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 08:50
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:15
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 06:14
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 06:14
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.43%E -6.50%K -20.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 21:35
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.65%E -1.83%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -5.78%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 08:50
LowVig.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -5.78%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 08:49
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:50
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:50
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 08:50
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:04
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -6.91%E -2.78%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 08:48
BetAnything2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -7.28%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 22:15
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 08:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 08:50
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.686%E -0.431%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 08:49
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.686%E -0.431%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 08:49
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:49
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.94%E -1.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 08:49
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 08:49
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:48
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.79%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -11.79%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 08:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-05-12 08:49
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-12 08:49
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-12 08:50
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-05-12 08:50