L’École des cotes

Karen Khachanov v Dino Prizmic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Prévision 37.54%2.66cote équitable
EV +0.227%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.136%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.37%37.59%37.42%39.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.522.552.6742.55%39.60%39.22%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dino Prizmic (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.46%1.60cote équitable
EV -0.686%
Avantage -0.431%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.15%62.41%62.58%64.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.501.5968.97%65.94%66.67%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV +0.227%E +0.085%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:09
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.43%E -6.50%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 01:37
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.899%E -0.341%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 08:10
GTbets2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -1.27%E -0.485%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 19:05
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:49
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:15
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:14
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:20
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:44
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 08:49
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:49
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:50
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:50
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 08:50
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:15
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 06:14
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 06:14
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.43%E -6.50%K -20.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 21:35
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.65%E -1.83%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -5.78%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 08:50
LowVig.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -5.78%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 08:49
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:50
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 08:50
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 08:50
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:04
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -6.91%E -2.78%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 08:48
BetAnything2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -7.28%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 22:15
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 08:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 08:50
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.686%E -0.431%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 08:49
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.686%E -0.431%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 08:49
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:49
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.94%E -1.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:49
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 08:49
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 08:49
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:48
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.79%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -11.79%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 08:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-05-12 08:49
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-12 08:49
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-12 08:50
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-05-12 08:50