Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karen Khachanov v Botic van de Zandschulp

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Prediction 56.87%1.76fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.92%56.85%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.17%60.24%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.579%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%43.08%43.15%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.3547.62%45.47%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 56.87%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 43.13%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.36%E +0.579%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-10 12:44
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 12:39
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 12:45
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.52%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.52%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:38
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.68%E -2.12%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.19%E -1.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-10 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 12:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:39
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.31%E -4.48%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.31%E -4.48%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:35
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:39
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:39
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.87%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 12:32
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:44
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:45
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-05-10 12:44
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-05-10 12:45