L’École des cotes

Karen Khachanov v Botic van de Zandschulp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Prévision 56.87%1.76cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%56.92%56.85%59.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.17%60.24%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.13%2.32cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.579%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%43.08%43.15%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.3547.62%45.47%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.36%E +0.579%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-10 12:44
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 12:39
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 12:45
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 12:45
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.52%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.52%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:38
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:40
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.68%E -2.12%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.19%E -1.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-10 12:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:38
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:40
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 12:40
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 12:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:40
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:39
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.31%E -4.48%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:40
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.31%E -4.48%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:40
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:40
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:35
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:39
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:40
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.87%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 12:32
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:44
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:45
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-05-10 12:44
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-05-10 12:45