La escuela de los momios

Karen Khachanov v Botic van de Zandschulp

Inicio: 2026-05-10 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Predicción 56.87%1.76momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%56.92%56.85%59.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.17%60.24%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Predicción 43.13%2.32momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.579%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%43.08%43.15%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3547.62%45.47%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.36%E +0.579%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-10 12:44
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 12:39
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 12:45
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.09%E -0.921%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 12:45
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.52%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.52%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:38
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:39
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:40
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.68%E -2.12%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.19%E -1.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-10 12:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:38
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:40
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:40
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 12:40
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 12:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:40
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:39
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.31%E -4.48%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:40
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.31%E -4.48%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:40
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:40
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:39
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:35
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 12:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:39
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.46%E -2.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:39
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:40
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.87%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 12:32
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:44
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 12:45
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-05-10 12:44
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-05-10 12:45