Language:English
Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Comesana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prediction 34.90%2.86fair odd
EV -0.521%
Edge -0.183%
Kelly -0.282%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%34.95%34.94%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.07%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Comesana (Visit)
Prediction 65.10%1.54fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.05%65.06%66.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5071.43%68.45%68.49%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 34.90%; Francisco Comesana (Visit): 65.10%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.521%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.521%E -0.183%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -0.521%E -0.183%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.870%E -0.306%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.92%E -0.682%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.91%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.62%E -0.937%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 13:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.57%E -5.33%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -4.71%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.06%E -1.86%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.06%E -1.86%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:42 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 12:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.74%E -5.10%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |